Technology Offer

N-Predictor - an advanced tool to predict the future behaviour of complex systems
Reference: IRCPK2003TO65
Organization: Cracow University of Technology
IRC Name: IRC South Poland  
Country: Poland
Entry Date: Thu, March 06, 2003
Last Update:  
Deadline: Fri, March 05, 2004
Abstract:

A small & experienced Polish software company invented & developed an advanced tool called N-Predictor to predict the future behaviour of systems the exact mathematical models of which can hardly be found, e.g. complex social, economical, natural & technical phenomena. N-Predictor employs feed-forward artificial neural networks with special technology of distributing computations over usual PCs in a local area network. The company is looking for a commercial agreement with technical assistance.

Description:

N-Predictor is a dedicated, advanced prediction tool, based on neural networks. It can be used to describe the future behaviour of systems the exact mathematical models of which can hardly be found. Thus, one can think of different complex social, economical, natural and technical phenomena.
N-Predictor employs the technology of feed-forward artificial neural networks, trained in several stages by means of improved back-propagation algorithm. A trained network is a system that reacts on particular input signals in an appropriate way, and thus it can be a model of some phenomenon or manufacturing process, predicting its future behaviour. Some new training parameters have been introduced and they are computed in real time, thus allowing to control the entire training process. Contrary to some other software, N-Predictor doesn't offer a wide variety of network architecture, training methods etc. However, this is not a disadvantage, since it is extremely difficult for humans to adjust such free parameters. N-Predictor does it automatically using a special algorithm RDO (Reduced Data Optimisation) developed by the Polish company and proved in practical applications.
Since the training of neural networks is usually a time-consuming process and for some complex problems it may take even hundreds of hours, the efficient use of neural software often needs very fast computers, which of course implies high cost. For this reason N-Predictor employs a special technology of distributing computations over usual PCs in a local area network. As shown on the picture below, this is done by a supervising module communicating directly with an Oracle database and with so-called NNA clients (Neural Network Advisors), installed on particular workstations. They are given their jobs to do and they are permanently controlled by the supervising module. The communication is based on D-COM technology.

Innovative Aspects:
A new method of supervised network training based on the RDO (Reduced Data Optimisation) algorithm developed by the company.

Main Advantages:
Distributing computations over usual PCs in a local area network allows to avoid the necessity of employing expensive servers and greatly reduces the total hardware cost.

Technology Keywords:
  • Advanced Systems Architecture
  • Artificial Intelligence (AI)
  • Computer Software
  • Computer Technology/Graphics, Meta Computing
  • Data Processing / Data Interchange, Middleware
  • Data Protection, Storage Technology, Cryptography, Data Security
  • Databases, Database Management, Data Mining
  • Knowledge Management, Process Management
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Socio-economic development models, economic aspects
  • Foresight tools
Current Stage of Development: Already on the market
Exploitation of RTD Results: PRIVATE RESEARCH
Intellectual Property Rights: Secret know-how

Comments The system is already on the Polish market, foreign language versions available immediately upon request.

Organisation/Company Type:  
Organisation/Company Size: 11-50
Brief Market Application Codes:
  • AGRICULTURAL AND MARINE RESOURCES AND PRODUCTS
  • BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
  • ENERGY
  • ENVIRONMENT
  • INDUSTRY
  • INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
  • OTHERS (Specify in Market Application Highlights)
Comments
Detailed Market Application Codes (VEIC): Keywords
  • Transportation
  • Finance, Insurance and Real Estate
  • Services
  • Manufacturing
  • Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Animal Husbandry and Related Products
  • Mining (non-energy related)
  • Construction and Building Products
  • Utilities and Related Firms
  • Other (uncategorised)
Highlights
Predicting:
- market indices, prices, mean values of stock indices etc. (finance)
- e.g., electric power consumption (industry)
- sales (marketing)
Collaboration Type:
  • License agreement
  • Commercial Agreement with Technical Assistance

Comments
The company is looking for a commercial agreement with technical assistance (license agreement): installation of the entire system, tuning, staff training and full support.
Preferred Countries for diffusion: ALL
Additional Information: http://www.bms.krakow.pl/npredictor_en.htm
Contact Name: Martynowicz
Contact First name: Pawel
Phone: +48 12 628 28 45
Fax: +48 12 632 47 95
Email: mailto:pmartyn@transfer.edu.pl